INTEREST RATES
Mortgage interest rates are still elevated, around 7%. But Dale says what's unusual here is that typically when inflation drops, rates drop along with it because the bond market, which drives interest rates on mortgages, generally responds favorably. That has not been the case for the last couple of months. And that’s due to some other factors. For one, the Fitch downgrade of the U.S. government’s credit rating was a big deal that really held back rates.
But Dale adds that a number of signs point to 2024 being a much better year in terms of interest rates.
Doug Duncan, the chief economist for Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, really believes — and so to the other experts — that we're going to be in the mid-fives to probably low sixes and 2024 in terms of interest rate percentages. It could even hit the low fives.
HOME VALUES
Dale notes that in the first half of this year, we actually saw a 10% increase from January through the end of May. But listing prices are starting to drop on properties, and that is always the leading indicator for values. In June, we saw the lowest increase in 11 years, it was only 1.6% annualized. So we're probably going to be looking at a 6% total appreciation by the end of this year. Some markets may even see decreases in property value, but we very likely won’t see significant declines anywhere.
IS NOW THE TIME TO BUY?
Believe it or not, this may be a great time to buy.
Dale explains that most people think there's no way this is a good time to buy, but that has helped to lessen the buyer competition in the housing market. If you wait until rates go down, what's going to happen is that many buyers will come back into the market, and it's going to be hard to find a house amid another round of bidding wars.
And that has helped to moderate home values somewhat, which puts buyers in a stronger bargaining position. One of the things that we've seen this year is over 40% of sales have included seller concessions. So you can get that now, which certainly wasn’t the case not all that long ago.
And there are huge tax advantages right now because of the rates, which actually offset some of your payments. When you look at the tax benefits on the backside, add all of those things up, and you might be better off buying now and perhaps refinancing when rates drop.
Learn more about Dale Vermillion at DaleVermillion.com.
On today’s program, Rob also answers listener questions:
- Are you required at a certain point to transfer a CD into another IRA CD?
- Are there good, safe alternatives to banks for where to keep your money?
- How do you begin to secure your financial future after a divorce?
- Do you need a living trust in order to avoid probate?
- How should you think and pray through the process of deciding how to divide your inheritance in your will?
RESOURCES MENTIONED:
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