The Downballot
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* > Here's one way to avoid dealing with election results you don't like: just wipe them from the record books. It's not Orwell—it's Arizona, and we're talking all about it on this week's episode of "The Downballot." This fall, voters have the chance to deny new terms to two conservative Supreme Court justices, but a Republican amendment would retroactively declare those elections null and void—and all but eliminate the system Arizona has used to evaluate judges for 50 years. We're going to guess voters won't like this one bit … if it even makes it to the ballot in the first place. * > Co-hosts David Nir and David Beard also recap this week's primaries in Pennsylvania, where voters just chose nominees in the high-profile contest for attorney general and in several key House races across the state. But there's also some big news that has scrambled next year's elections in Virginia, with a prominent candidate dropping his bid for governor to instead seek the number two slot.
* > It's an old story, but it never gets old: Democrats just whooped Republicans in fundraising—again. This week on "The Downballot" podcast, we're running through some of the most eye-popping numbers Democrats hauled in during the first quarter of the year (Sherrod Brown! Jon Tester! Colin Allred!) and the comparatively weak performances we're seeing from Republicans almost across the board. The GOP hopes to make up the gap by relying on self-funders, but a campaign without a strong fundraising network can be dangerously hollow. * > Co-hosts David Nir and David Beard also recap the week's electoral action, starting with victories in a pair of special elections in Michigan that allowed Democrats to reclaim their majority in the state House, plus a noteworthy House runoff in Alabama that could lead to a Black Democrat representing Mobile for the first time since Reconstruction. * > The Davids also explain why a surprise retirement from the Wisconsin Supreme Court means progressives need to be on guard against a top-two lockout in yet another critical battle for control of the court. And finally, there's the astonishing three-way House race in California that could soon turn into a humdrum two-way affair thanks to an unexpected recount.
* > It's only April, but the Washington Post's new report https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/04/06/tim-sheehy-montana-senate-gunshot-wound-national-park/ on GOP golden boy Tim Sheehy is a strong contender for the craziest political story of the year. On this week's episode of "The Downballot," co-hosts David Nir and David Beard dissect the countless contradictions in Sheehy's tales about a bullet wound that he either received in Afghanistan in a national park three years later. The Davids also explain why the Arizona Supreme Court's appalling new ruling banning nearly all abortions could lead to two conservative justices losing their seats this fall. * > Our guest this week is Sondra Goldschein, who runs the Campaign for a Family Friendly Economy, an organization dedicated to improving America's badly lagging "care infrastructure." Goldschein explains how issues like paid medical leave laws and greater access to childcare affect an enormous swath of the electorate—and why they're closely tied to voters' perceptions of their economic fortunes. She also highlights candidates her group is working to elect to make these policies a reality.
* > Florida's Supreme Court just greenlit a ballot measure to enshrine abortion in the state constitution—and simultaneously allowed the GOP's new six-week abortion ban to become law. That makes the already-high stakes for this amendment even higher, as we discuss on this week's episode of The Downballot. Co-hosts David Nir and David Beard also talk about the death of New Jersey's infamous "county line" and how the GOP managed to pick yet another whackjob candidate for yet another congressional special election. * > Our guest this week is Daria Dawson, the executive director of America Votes, an organization that forms a crucial piece of infrastructure for the progressive moment. As Dawson explains, America Votes plays the role of "traffic cop" to ensure that its 400 partners don't duplicate each other's work—and that the right groups communicate with the right voters. She also emphasizes that Democratic candidates need to affirmatively tie themselves to ballot measures protecting abortion rights and says that voting rights are key to differentiating between the parties when talking to voters.
* > Another special election just delivered still more bad news for the GOP, but Democrat Marilyn Lands', well, landslide should really have Republicans quaking. As we explain on this week's episode of The Downballot, this was the first test of in vitro fertilization at the ballot box since the Alabama Supreme Court's ruling that imperiled the procedure, and Republicans failed spectacularly—with dire implications for November. * > Co-hosts David Nir and David Beard also examine the fallout from Tammy Murphy's shock decision to abandon her Senate bid and why Andy Kim's campaign has dealt a major blow to New Jersey's political machine. The Davids then explore whether the seemingly impossible might come to pass: Could Democrats take back control of the House before Election Day? Whatever the odds, Democrats need to be ready. * > Our guest this week is Lauren Baer, a 2018 congressional candidate in Florida who now runs Arena, an organization dedicated to supporting the next generation of campaign staff. Baer tells us about her group's work to train and place staff with campaigns, including how they help staffers weather the dry "shoulder season" between election cycles. She also warns about the huge GOP advantage in funding their talent pipeline and explains how Democrats can make up this crucial gap in campaign infrastructure.
* > One of the most under-represented groups in elective office is also one of the least discussed: moms, especially mothers of young children. On this week's episode of "The Downballot," we're talking with Liuba Grechen Shirley, the founder of Vote Mama, an organization devoted to electing progressive moms at all levels of the ballot. * > Grechen Shirley describes her groundbreaking success in getting the FEC to allow her to use campaign funds for childcare when she ran for Congress on Long Island in 2018 and her subsequent efforts to support candidates like her. She explains how electing more mothers will mean more pro-family policies and tells us about some of her top candidates running this fall. * > Co-host David Nir and guest co-host Joe Sudbay also recap Tuesday's key primaries in Ohio and Illinois, including the blowout GOP Senate primary in the Buckeye State whose results will make both Donald Trump and Democrats happy. They also discuss an important new ruling from the Montana Supreme Court, which just smacked down an attempt by the state's Republican attorney general to keep an abortion rights amendment off the November ballot.
* > The ripple effects of the Dobbs decision are impacting not only the right to an abortion but also abortion funding, IVF, and even recreational sex. Joining us on this week's episode of "The Downballot" is Grace Panetta, a political reporter at The 19th who has closely covered the electoral consequences of this ever-widening set of issues. Panetta highlights key races this year where reproductive rights will take center stage, including ballot initiatives in multiple states, efforts to repeal bans on public funding of abortions, and an upcoming special election in Alabama, the state that just thrust IVF into the limelight. * > Co-hosts David Nir and David Beard also discuss Ken Buck's highly entertaining resignation, which is making life way more difficult for both Mike Johnson and Lauren Boebert. They then preview next week's primaries in Illinois and Ohio, which will, among other things, determine which Republican will take on one of the most vulnerable Democratic senators up this year, Sherrod Brown.
* > We're recapping all of Tuesday's primary night action on this week's episode of "The Downballot"! Co-hosts David Nir and David Beard go coast-to-coast, setting the table in Texas' Senate race and picking apart the bloodbath in the state House. Then it's on to North Carolina, where GOP extremists dominated at all levels of the ballot—and where one notorious election fraudster is now on his way to Congress. We wrap with California, whose troublesome top-two primary system made its quirks felt in a whole bunch of races, from Senate on down.
* > The first downballot primaries of 2024 are here! We're previewing some of Tuesday's biggest races on this week's episode of "The Downballot" with Daily Kos Elections editor Jeff Singer. Singer highlights major elections in four states, including the battle for second place in California's Senate contest; whether Democrats will avoid a lockout in a critical California House district; if the worst Republican election fraudster in recent years will successfully stage a comeback in North Carolina; and how Alabama's new map will affect not one but two House races. * > Co-hosts David Nir and David Beard also shake their heads in dismay at New York Democrats, who just unilaterally disarmed in the face of extreme GOP gerrymandering nationwide by passing a new congressional map that barely makes any changes to the status quo. The Davids emphasize that as long as Republicans keep blocking Democratic efforts to ban gerrymandering, Democrats have no choice but to fight fire with fire. Yet in New York, they grabbed the fire extinguisher.
* > The economy seems to be going great, but lots of voters still say they aren't feeling it. So how should Democrats deal with this conundrum? On this week's episode of "The Downballot," communications consultant Anat Shenker-Osorio tells us that the first step is to reframe the debate, focusing not on "the economy"—an institution many feel is unjust—but rather on voters' economic well-being. Shenker-Osorio advises Democrats to run on a populist message that emphasizes specifics, like delivering tangible kitchen-table economic benefits and protecting personal liberties, including the right to an abortion. * > Co-hosts David Nir and David Beard also investigate the new candidacy of rich guy Eric Hovde, the latest in a long line of GOP Senate candidates who have weak ties to the states they want to represent. Then it's on to redistricting news in two states: Wisconsin, which will have fair legislative maps for the first time in ages, and New York, where Democrats are poised to nuke a new congressional map that no one seems to like. * > Transcript to come.
* > Ohhhhh yeah! Democrats kicked ass and then some in Tuesday's special election in New York, so of course we're talking all about it on this week's episode of "The Downballot." Co-hosts David Nir and David Beard explain how Tom Suozzi's win affects the math for Democrats' plan to take back the House, then dive into the seemingly bottomless list of excuses Republicans have been making to handwave their defeat away. The bottom line: Suozzi effectively neutralized attacks on immigration—and abortion is still a huge loser for the GOP. * > The Davids then chat with Alex Roarty, a politics reporter at NOTUS, a new nonprofit newsroom promoting a new model not just for covering news but for training the next generation of reporters. Roarty tells us how his work has changed since coming over from the for-profit world and also shares his thoughts on the down-ticket races he's watching most closely this year, including bellwether contests in North Carolina and Pennsylvania. * > Transcript to come.
* > Disinformation is a growing problem in American politics, but combating it in Latino media poses its own special challenges. Joining us on this week's episode of "The Downballot" is Roberta Braga, founder of the Digital Democracy Institute of the Americas, a new organization devoted to tackling disinformation and building resiliency in Latino communities. Braga explains how disinformation transcends borders but also creates opportunities for people in the U.S. to import new solutions from Latin America. She also underscores the importance of fielding Latino candidates and their unique ability to address the issue. * > In our Weekly Hits segment, co-hosts David Nir and David Beard hit a broad array of stories, including why a top California Democrat is seeking to pick his opponent for the general election; a truly bonkers un-retirement in Indiana; a troubling story sparked by an AI-generated image of a Democratic congressman in Illinois; and why a whole bunch of Oregon Republicans won't be allowed to seek reelection even though they very much want to. * > Transcript to come.
* > EMILY's List has been devoted to electing pro-choice Democratic women for 40 years, a mission that's grown only more critical since the fall of . Joining us on "The Downballot" this week is Christina Reynolds, one of EMILY's top officials, to tell us about how her organization recruits, supports, and advises women candidates at all levels of the ballot nationwide. Reynolds explains the unique challenges women face, from a lack of fundraising networks to judgments about their qualifications that never seem to stick to men. She tells us how has—and hasn't—changed campaigning for EMILY's endorsees and spotlights a wide range of key races the group is involved in this year. * > * > Co-hosts David Nir and David Beard also discuss the rollout of the DCCC's first "Red to Blue" list this year, highlighting the most promising Democratic pickup opportunities in the House. While the D-Trip is focused on general elections, the Davids explain why the committee has no choice but to get involved in a California primary thanks to the state's election rules. And finally, they tear into the Tennessee GOP for a ridiculous set of rule changes designed solely to protect a scandal-plagued incumbent—changes that will probably bite them in the ass before long. * > * > Transcript to come.
We're going deep inside last year's momentous progressive victory in the battle for control of the Wisconsin Supreme Court on this week's episode of "The Downballot," where we're joined by Alejandro Verdin, who managed Judge Janet Protasiewicz's triumphant campaign. Verdin explains how he assembled a team that took the little-known Protasiewicz from third place in the polls to a runaway first-place finish in the primary and then on to a landslide win in the general election. Verdin tells us why Protasiewicz broke with the staid traditions of campaigning for judicial office and was so outspoken on the issues that voters cared about—particularly gerrymandering and abortion. Plus: the never-before-revealed easter egg trolling their conservative opponent that the campaign inserted into their ads. Co-hosts David Nir and David Beard also recap Tuesday's elections in New Hampshire—no, not those elections. We're talking about two special elections for the state House, of course! Then it's on to Louisiana, where the Davids explain how the state's unique all-party primaries will come to a (partial) end, and how a Republican congressman might get revenge on his party for making him walk the plank in redistricting. Transcript to come.
Is there anything more iconic in American politics than the whistle-stop tour? Author Edward Segal joins us on this week's episode of "The Downballot" to discuss his new book https://www.whistlestoppolitics.com/ unearthing the storied history of campaigning by train. Segal takes us through nearly two centuries of rail campaigns, from early pioneers like Abraham Lincoln to the great popularizer of whistle-stop touring William Jennings Bryan all the way up to "Amtrak Joe" Biden. Along the way, learn how politicians' trains were actually deployed, lessons for today's campaigners, and the surprising era Segal identifies as the heyday for these tours. Co-hosts David Nir and David Beard also dive deep into Democrat Tom Keen's huge special election victory in Florida on Tuesday night, including why the result was a purely self-inflicted wound for Ron DeSantis and how it'll help Sunshine State Democrats get their mojo back. The Davids then dissect the many twists and turns in the court-ordered redistricting process that's now underway in Louisiana, where the state's new GOP governor seems intent on punishing a political enemy and rewarding a friend—only the former is a Republican and the latter a Democrat! Transcript to come.
We've got so, so many elections coming up in 2024, and dammit, we're going to cover them all! On this week's episode of "The Downballot," co-hosts David Nir and David Beard get the year started with an overview of the battleground for [deep breath] the Senate, the House, governorships, state legislatures, and state supreme courts. Consider this your audio cheat sheet for November's top races, but don't worry, we'll be covering plenty more as the cycle unfolds. The Davids also discuss the recent string of House GOP retirements—both what they say about the state of the Republican caucus and what they mean for 2024. Then there's a new effort by activists in Ohio to place a measure on the ballot that would crap down on Republican voter suppression by enacting extensive protections for the right to vote. And finally, we dive into the latest GOP gerrymanders in Georgia, which have pushed two Black Democratic women into running for the same seat.
Republicans have an unflagging ability to lose elections by saying outrageous crap, but someone has to record it all—and put it on blast. That someone is the Democratic opposition research shop American Bridge, which is why we're talking to the organization's president, Pat Dennis, on this week's episode of The Downballot. Dennis tells us how the not-so-dark art of "oppo" works, explaining how it's been refined over the years to better allow Democrats to target Republicans running far down the ballot. He also shares the do's and don'ts of tracking candidates and how his shop most effectively weaponizes the massive storehouses of video and research it puts together. Co-hosts David Nir and David Beard also kick off the third season of The Downballot with a recap of the normally snoozy but surprisingly newsy holiday break, starting with Lauren Boebert's naked attempt to stay in power by flitting off to a new district on the far side of the state. Then there's a huge redistricting win for the good guys in Wisconsin, but a tough loss in Georgia—though a silver lining for Democrat Lucy McBath https://twitter.com/GTCarfree/status/1740767660198257078. Finally, we catch up on the special election to replace George Santos and the fumbling efforts of a Kevin McCarthy ally to get on the ballot in the race to succeed the ex-speaker. Transcript to come.
We're celebrating an amazing 2023 by revisiting all of the year's best elections on this week's episode of The Downballot! January kicked us off with a huge special election flip for Democrats in the Virginia Senate that set the tone for the rest of the year—and made it clear that abortion would remain the most potent issue driving voters to the ballot box. We saw that again and again, from the Wisconsin Supreme Court race to Issue 1 in Ohio to the other Issue 1 in Ohio and even to the governor's race in deep-red Kentucky. The safest bet you can make is that we'll see more of the same in 2024. David Beard then hands out the First Annual Downballot Awards! Who will take home the prize for Most Notorious Elected Official? Best Leveraging of Raw Political Power? Funniest Fall from Grace? And the biggest honor of them all, Most Badass Campaign Announcement? Tune in to find out! Our congratulations to all the winners! And in all sincerity, a huge thank you to all of our listeners, who are the reason for this show in the first place. We are so grateful for your support. Transcript to come.
Every political junkie consumes polls, but how much do you know about focus groups? We wanted to learn more—much more—about this critical campaign tool, so we invited Margie Omero of GBAO Strategies to join us on this week's episode of The Downballot. Omero gets into the nitty-gritty to tell us how focus groups are actually convened, the best ways to moderate them, and what participants have been saying about abortion ever since the Dobbs decision. Those views were key to understanding why last year's red wave narrative was flawed and shed light on what we can expect in 2024. Co-hosts David Nir and David Beard also dissect the big new redistricting decision https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2023/12/12/2211332/-New-York-s-top-court-orders-new-House-map-but-Democratic-gains-may-not-be-dramatic from New York's top court, which just ordered the state to use a new congressional map next year. The Davids explain why the court ruled as it did and game out what might happen next. As with so much in New York politics, the picture is cloudy, but Democrats stand to benefit—though don't expect an extreme gerrymander like the infamous "baconmander." https://swingstateproject.com/diary/6166/contest-entry-ny-280-with-58-obama-or-more-finding-limits Transcript to come.
It's not every day that the House expels one of its own, so of course we're talking about George Santos getting the boot on this week's episode of The Downballot. Co-hosts David Nir and David Beard discuss the deep fracture inside the GOP that the expulsion vote, then handicap the special election to replace Congress' newest ex-member. They also dive into the absolutely wild New York Times report https://www.nytimes.com/2023/12/05/nyregion/suozzi-santos-hochul-special-election.html detailing how former Rep. Tom Suozzi had to grovel before Gov. Kathy Hochul to earn her approval to run in that February election. The Davids spend some more time examining House Republican dysfunction as they recount the departures of two of the party's top leaders, Kevin McCarthy and Patrick McHenry. They also explain why the results of a legislative special election in Miami mean good news for Democrats before jumping into redistricting updates for both Florida and Georgia, then wrap up with a surprisingly positive ruling in favor of voting rights in North Carolina. Transcript to come.
There has been a ton of coverage in recent weeks over a streak of poor 2024 polling for Democrats and Target Smart’s Tom Bonier joins us to help us separate the wheat from the chaff https://player.captivate.fm/show/b049910f-1c6e-4b96-8ecd-480b1764cb75/latest/. We talk about what to take from these polls and how to balance them against the much more positive election results we’ve seen this year. We also discuss how early voting data continues to evolve and how Sen. Sherrod Brown’s campaign will use Ohio’s recent abortion and marijuana referendums to find new persuadable voters next year. House retirements keep coming and host David Beard and Daily Kos Elections editor Jeff Singer discuss one of the most competitive new open seats, Michigan’s 8th district. They also preview some key state house special elections in Michigan and Pennsylvania and new attempts to put abortion rights on the ballot next year in Montana and Nebraska. Subscribe to "The Downballot" on Apple Podcasts https://notify.dailykos.com/ss/c/1XQbiUZqIgkFRQxQopJGKeqdhWuIqpW0eQhmA8EUWy9o_WUN5P6d4IJ3KSrwAiHWWJ3RkNgGqIMRqEiY1qvDDK45ashJsxA-Y7bOuhZdE9bsPvHv56mBtB0JnXS2de90gwNa5PoEGwWRYFYM3QWdbC9hKZ0GtoCF6udb-fgKrjOpLECMn4FOT8Ybs_cNodUhDuled5A7wy8iZUfy_WEO52zoXKrcrrBfMZy8-_j_nXYD3X9nTUDP1-D3a37u2rGSJOSDqJc6y2PdNWXt1G_jO2PpGZURUcGwwK6Dvfm6bVEp_x9ZwrAhotA0gwFf0kQak6t5xujUys0p05Jg12EycaesBhDVeBx4r2_TWQHff-1LHxNPOE50un3-wUSuZPST1Gr30dXlvE0UtnDg1KGp9_cnkKs6RzkKiTnydtQXgk3KKLlvGQ43thtTpksKJg7p/3zs/lxcbmicORTWeYPnnkiKiGg/h29/wFHg8ZUhicqBVVPiToC5Imd8HmTzmEg9OIr60cXm2mg to make sure you never miss a show—new episodes every Thursday! You'll find a transcript of this week's episode right here https://notify.dailykos.com/ss/c/atcYNHk4Eh2YdGnwBh-YDCxDIu4OO3SBv2TLoLPFt2c-wLUc52OMOt0vDu1Cq_aos-PMq60zk0Tfifj0I_T3AHKQTKcCfT5yCaTpwzOQgygTmuqHKMtcS-RBF2D1iaDLqXerfaiHnzNmBNzJuoHUnryXnvj52luNJCKH-GXPWem7fYK6zhF2oB9UmQMo-P_aFhPSUMwn5DdfWXD3NxytsJ-66sLQYYyvZi0kjmu1KJizVlWVXL-gB9nKhH5Ov0YSaT2tXWffbMaqgKI1ZAkeaZOCaPeMuO_lXy-zvQejIvbZEz52pGAZHFaYRcPDcn0Us7Ir2kC5kyvkpugcvScriow3bndgNQ4xG3kEI5W-wVqQhw2Iv6P7MNIKCUpUotPrfUFhvVwPSAD9zdjlhR3ZRtHUmwyNx9mG_xJp9guDHYW3s8KoPuwjEoEDnN-F7nBG/3zs/lxcbmicORTWeYPnnkiKiGg/h30/JIDtKtUnVK9I7veY_TzVHc3qKJdaS7qwhO1uJyFeTKk by noon Eastern time.
We talk about North Carolina non-stop on "The Downballot," so it's only natural that our guest on this week's episode is Anderson Clayton, the new chair of the state Democratic Party. Clayton made headlines when she became the youngest state party chair anywhere in the country at the age of 25, and the story of how she got there is an inspiring one. But what she's doing—and plans to do—is even more compelling. Her focus is on rebuilding the party infrastructure from the county level up, with the aim of reconnecting with rural Black voters who've too often been sidelined and making young voters feel like they have a political home. Plus: her long-term plan to win back the state Supreme Court. Co-hosts David Nir and David Beard, meanwhile, turn to the avalanche of political developments that have followed last week's off-year elections, with big new candidate announcements in New Jersey's Senate race and Virginia's 2025 contest for governor. They also finally get to discuss the unusual Democratic primary unfolding in the nation's newest Black-majority House seat in Alabama. And then there are all the retirements to recap! So, so many retirements. Find Daily Kos Elections' new 2024 calendar right here. https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2023/11/10/2202570/-Daily-Kos-Elections-2024-primary-calendar Transcript to come.
Just one word explains why Democrats had such a massive election night on Tuesday: abortion. On the newest episode of The Downballot, co-hosts David Nir and David Beard recap all the top races through the lens of reproductive rights, which continue to motivate Democrats and even win over a key swath of Republican voters. Nowhere was that more evident than in Ohio, which voted to enshrine the right to an abortion into the state constitution by a double-digit margin, despite countless GOP attempts to derail the effort. Abortion also played a key role in Kentucky, where Democratic Gov. Andy Beshear won another term by making his Republican opponent answer for his total opposition to the procedure despite the state's deep-red hue. It was central as well in Virginia, where Democrats won complete control of the legislature after GOP Gov. Glenn Youngkin dared them to oppose his proposed 15-week ban. And it came up again and again in swingy Pennsylvania, which saw Democrat Dan McCaffery win a key seat on the state Supreme Court over a far-right opponent. Plus: How the suburbs continue to slip away from the GOP's grasp. Transcript to come.
Election Day is finally here! Joining us on "The Downballot" this week to preview all the key contests is Daily Kos Elections editor Jeff Singer, who has the goods on races big and small. Singer kicks us off by getting us up to speed on the battles for governor in Kentucky and Mississippi, two conservative Southern states where it's Republicans who are acting worried. Then it's on to major fights in Pennsylvania, where a vacant state Supreme Court seat is in play, and Ohio, where an amendment to enshrine abortion rights into the state constitution is on the ballot. Singer also highlights a pair of bellwether legislative districts in Virginia, where both chambers are up for grabs, and then it's on to some lesser-known—but still exceedingly important—races further down the ballot. Several are also taking place in swingy Pennsylvania, including a critical contest that will determine who controls election administration in a major county in the Philadelphia suburbs. Democrats will also be hoping for a bounce-back in the county executive's race in Long Island's Suffolk County, an area that swung hard to Republicans last year. Transcript to come.
Mike who? House Republicans have managed to elevate someone so obscure to the speakership that even we scarcely know who he is. But that's why we're devoting this week's episode of "The Downballot" to exposing Louisiana Rep. Mike Johnson and his crazy, weird, extreme views. Johnson voted to overturn the 2020 election, supports a nationwide abortion ban, and voted to shut down the government just last month—and he won unanimously, meaning vulnerable Republicans now own all that, too. Plus, Johnson has zero track record when it comes to one of the House speaker's most important duties to his party: raising tons of money. How long before he starts pissing his caucus off? We're also joined this week by Amanda Litman, the co-founder of Run for Something, which is devoted to encouraging young, diverse progressives to seek local office. Her group just launched a new project specifically targeting school board races, an enormous battleground that gets far too little attention. Litman tells us how Run for Something recruits candidates and advises them on the challenges unique to school board elections, including the importance of retail campaigning and how to push back against attacks from Moms for Liberty-type extremists. Transcript to come.
Why do vulnerable House Republicans keep voting for a sure-loser speaker candidate who opposes all their priorities and might just drown them at the ballot box? Beats us! But we just can't resist a delicious GOP disaster on this week's episode of "The Downballot." https://player.captivate.fm/show/b049910f-1c6e-4b96-8ecd-480b1764cb75/latest/ David Valadao voted to impeach Trump—and also supports Jim Jordan, known insurrectionist. Brian Fitzpatrick represents a heavily Ukrainian district—and also supports Jim Jordan, known Putinist. And there are many more like them. Make it make sense! Well, we shall try our best. Co-hosts David Nir and David Beard are also joined by Daily Kos Elections editor Jeff Singer to recap the (dismal) results of Louisiana's gubernatorial election. The Davids then dissect the GOP's new ultra-extreme gerrymanders in North Carolina before discussing a welcome poll on Ohio's abortion amendment and very heartening developments in Poland, where pro-democracy forces just ousted the country's far-right authoritarian government. It's also the end of the quarter, so we've published charts rounding up all of the new federal fundraising reports for both the House https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2023/10/17/2199969/-Daily-Kos-Elections-3Q-2022-House-fundraising-reports-roundup and the Senate. https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2023/10/17/2199980/-Daily-Kos-Elections-3Q-2023-Senate-fundraising-reports-roundup Transcript to come.
While the House continues to be in crisis from the fall of Kevin McCarthy and the Republican Conference’s inability to unite around a new candidate, the 2024 Congressional races are well underway. Daily Kos Elections’ own Jeff Singer joins us to run through some of the notable developments https://player.captivate.fm/show/b049910f-1c6e-4b96-8ecd-480b1764cb75/latest/ in the most competitive races, including George Santos’s ongoing legal drama and Nancy Mace’s strange theatrics. Host David Beard and guest host Joe Sudbay also preview the first round of the Louisiana governor’s race, taking place this Saturday, October 14. They then discuss the new voting restrictions that North Carolina Republicans passed into law over Governor Cooper’s veto and review the new Alabama congressional map that a three judge panel decided will be used for the rest of the decade. Subscribe to "The Downballot" on Apple Podcasts https://notify.dailykos.com/ss/c/1XQbiUZqIgkFRQxQopJGKeqdhWuIqpW0eQhmA8EUWy9o_WUN5P6d4IJ3KSrwAiHWWJ3RkNgGqIMRqEiY1qvDDK45ashJsxA-Y7bOuhZdE9bsPvHv56mBtB0JnXS2de90gwNa5PoEGwWRYFYM3QWdbC9hKZ0GtoCF6udb-fgKrjOpLECMn4FOT8Ybs_cNodUhDuled5A7wy8iZUfy_WEO52zoXKrcrrBfMZy8-_j_nXYD3X9nTUDP1-D3a37u2rGSJOSDqJc6y2PdNWXt1G_jO2PpGZURUcGwwK6Dvfm6bVEp_x9ZwrAhotA0gwFf0kQak6t5xujUys0p05Jg12EycaesBhDVeBx4r2_TWQHff-1LHxNPOE50un3-wUSuZPST1Gr30dXlvE0UtnDg1KGp9_cnkKs6RzkKiTnydtQXgk3KKLlvGQ43thtTpksKJg7p/3zs/lxcbmicORTWeYPnnkiKiGg/h29/wFHg8ZUhicqBVVPiToC5Imd8HmTzmEg9OIr60cXm2mg to make sure you never miss a show—new episodes every Thursday! You'll find a transcript of this week's episode right here https://notify.dailykos.com/ss/c/atcYNHk4Eh2YdGnwBh-YDCxDIu4OO3SBv2TLoLPFt2c-wLUc52OMOt0vDu1Cq_aos-PMq60zk0Tfifj0I_T3AHKQTKcCfT5yCaTpwzOQgygTmuqHKMtcS-RBF2D1iaDLqXerfaiHnzNmBNzJuoHUnryXnvj52luNJCKH-GXPWem7fYK6zhF2oB9UmQMo-P_aFhPSUMwn5DdfWXD3NxytsJ-66sLQYYyvZi0kjmu1KJizVlWVXL-gB9nKhH5Ov0YSaT2tXWffbMaqgKI1ZAkeaZOCaPeMuO_lXy-zvQejIvbZEz52pGAZHFaYRcPDcn0Us7Ir2kC5kyvkpugcvScriow3bndgNQ4xG3kEI5W-wVqQhw2Iv6P7MNIKCUpUotPrfUFhvVwPSAD9zdjlhR3ZRtHUmwyNx9mG_xJp9guDHYW3s8KoPuwjEoEDnN-F7nBG/3zs/lxcbmicORTWeYPnnkiKiGg/h30/JIDtKtUnVK9I7veY_TzVHc3qKJdaS7qwhO1uJyFeTKk by noon Eastern time.
It’s been an unprecedented week in politics as (now former) Speaker Kevin McCarthy was booted out of the Speaker’s chair. 538’s Nathaniel Rakich joins us to break down the fallout https://player.captivate.fm/show/b049910f-1c6e-4b96-8ecd-480b1764cb75/latest/, including how it might affect the 2024 race for the House and if McCarthy might resign and trigger a special election for his Congressional seat. We also talk about the good special election trends for Democrats this year and how to incorporate polling into your thinking about elections. Host David Beard and guest host Joe Sudbay also cover the passing of California Senator Dianne Feinstein and her appointed replacement, EMILY’s List’s Laphonza Butler. They also discuss the return of a number of 2022 GOP losers, including Arizona’s Kari Lake, Michigan’s James Craig, and Ohio’s J.R. Majewski, all of whom are announcing new campaigns for 2024. Subscribe to "The Downballot" on Apple Podcasts https://notify.dailykos.com/ss/c/1XQbiUZqIgkFRQxQopJGKeqdhWuIqpW0eQhmA8EUWy9o_WUN5P6d4IJ3KSrwAiHWWJ3RkNgGqIMRqEiY1qvDDK45ashJsxA-Y7bOuhZdE9bsPvHv56mBtB0JnXS2de90gwNa5PoEGwWRYFYM3QWdbC9hKZ0GtoCF6udb-fgKrjOpLECMn4FOT8Ybs_cNodUhDuled5A7wy8iZUfy_WEO52zoXKrcrrBfMZy8-_j_nXYD3X9nTUDP1-D3a37u2rGSJOSDqJc6y2PdNWXt1G_jO2PpGZURUcGwwK6Dvfm6bVEp_x9ZwrAhotA0gwFf0kQak6t5xujUys0p05Jg12EycaesBhDVeBx4r2_TWQHff-1LHxNPOE50un3-wUSuZPST1Gr30dXlvE0UtnDg1KGp9_cnkKs6RzkKiTnydtQXgk3KKLlvGQ43thtTpksKJg7p/3zs/lxcbmicORTWeYPnnkiKiGg/h29/wFHg8ZUhicqBVVPiToC5Imd8HmTzmEg9OIr60cXm2mg to make sure you never miss a show—new episodes every Thursday! You'll find a transcript of this week's episode right here https://notify.dailykos.com/ss/c/atcYNHk4Eh2YdGnwBh-YDCxDIu4OO3SBv2TLoLPFt2c-wLUc52OMOt0vDu1Cq_aos-PMq60zk0Tfifj0I_T3AHKQTKcCfT5yCaTpwzOQgygTmuqHKMtcS-RBF2D1iaDLqXerfaiHnzNmBNzJuoHUnryXnvj52luNJCKH-GXPWem7fYK6zhF2oB9UmQMo-P_aFhPSUMwn5DdfWXD3NxytsJ-66sLQYYyvZi0kjmu1KJizVlWVXL-gB9nKhH5Ov0YSaT2tXWffbMaqgKI1ZAkeaZOCaPeMuO_lXy-zvQejIvbZEz52pGAZHFaYRcPDcn0Us7Ir2kC5kyvkpugcvScriow3bndgNQ4xG3kEI5W-wVqQhw2Iv6P7MNIKCUpUotPrfUFhvVwPSAD9zdjlhR3ZRtHUmwyNx9mG_xJp9guDHYW3s8KoPuwjEoEDnN-F7nBG/3zs/lxcbmicORTWeYPnnkiKiGg/h30/JIDtKtUnVK9I7veY_TzVHc3qKJdaS7qwhO1uJyFeTKk by noon Eastern time.
The Virginia House flipped to Democrats in 2019 and back to Republicans in 2021. Can Democrats win the three seats they need to regain control of the chamber? Blue Virginia's Lowell Feld joins us to run through the key races in both the Virginia Senate and House and how Democrats can win both chambers this November. We also look to 2024 and discuss some key announcements in competitive Virginia Congressional races. Host David Beard and guest host Joe Sudbay also cover the huge news out of New Jersey, where Sen. Bob Menendez has been indicted (again) and this time most state and national Democrats are not standing by him. We also discuss the long-awaited entrance of hedge fund CEO Dave McCormick into the Pennsylvania Senate race for Republicans; the Supreme Court rejecting Alabama's long shot attempt to prevent a new Congressional map; and the gerrymandered state legislative maps Ohioans will be using for at least one cycle. Subscribe to "The Downballot" on Apple Podcasts https://notify.dailykos.com/ss/c/1XQbiUZqIgkFRQxQopJGKeqdhWuIqpW0eQhmA8EUWy9o_WUN5P6d4IJ3KSrwAiHWWJ3RkNgGqIMRqEiY1qvDDK45ashJsxA-Y7bOuhZdE9bsPvHv56mBtB0JnXS2de90gwNa5PoEGwWRYFYM3QWdbC9hKZ0GtoCF6udb-fgKrjOpLECMn4FOT8Ybs_cNodUhDuled5A7wy8iZUfy_WEO52zoXKrcrrBfMZy8-_j_nXYD3X9nTUDP1-D3a37u2rGSJOSDqJc6y2PdNWXt1G_jO2PpGZURUcGwwK6Dvfm6bVEp_x9ZwrAhotA0gwFf0kQak6t5xujUys0p05Jg12EycaesBhDVeBx4r2_TWQHff-1LHxNPOE50un3-wUSuZPST1Gr30dXlvE0UtnDg1KGp9_cnkKs6RzkKiTnydtQXgk3KKLlvGQ43thtTpksKJg7p/3zs/lxcbmicORTWeYPnnkiKiGg/h29/wFHg8ZUhicqBVVPiToC5Imd8HmTzmEg9OIr60cXm2mg to make sure you never miss a show—new episodes every Thursday! You'll find a transcript of this week's episode right here https://notify.dailykos.com/ss/c/atcYNHk4Eh2YdGnwBh-YDCxDIu4OO3SBv2TLoLPFt2c-wLUc52OMOt0vDu1Cq_aos-PMq60zk0Tfifj0I_T3AHKQTKcCfT5yCaTpwzOQgygTmuqHKMtcS-RBF2D1iaDLqXerfaiHnzNmBNzJuoHUnryXnvj52luNJCKH-GXPWem7fYK6zhF2oB9UmQMo-P_aFhPSUMwn5DdfWXD3NxytsJ-66sLQYYyvZi0kjmu1KJizVlWVXL-gB9nKhH5Ov0YSaT2tXWffbMaqgKI1ZAkeaZOCaPeMuO_lXy-zvQejIvbZEz52pGAZHFaYRcPDcn0Us7Ir2kC5kyvkpugcvScriow3bndgNQ4xG3kEI5W-wVqQhw2Iv6P7MNIKCUpUotPrfUFhvVwPSAD9zdjlhR3ZRtHUmwyNx9mG_xJp9guDHYW3s8KoPuwjEoEDnN-F7nBG/3zs/lxcbmicORTWeYPnnkiKiGg/h30/JIDtKtUnVK9I7veY_TzVHc3qKJdaS7qwhO1uJyFeTKk by noon Eastern time.
We did it! And it's all thanks to Molech! We're devoting this week's episode of "The Downballot" to giving praise to the dark god himself after New Hampshire Democrat Hal Rafter won a critical special election over Republican Jim Guzofski, the loony toons pastor who once ranted that liberals make "blood sacrifices to their god Molech." Democrats are now just one seat away from erasing the GOP's majority in the state House and should feel good about their chances in the Granite State next year. Republicans, meanwhile, can only stew bitterly that they lack the grassroots fundraising energy provided by Daily Kos, which endorsed Rafter and raised the bulk of his campaign funds via small donations. We're also joined by Daily Kos Elections' own Stephen Wolf to update us on the ongoing litigation over Alabama's congressional map. In an unusual move, the court's appointed expert invited the public to submit their own proposals as he prepares replacement maps, so Wolf took him up on the offer and drew two plans of his own https://twitter.com/DKElections/status/1702036305406726147. Wolf describes those plans in detail and sings the praises of Dave's Redistricting App, the invaluable free tool that has allowed ordinary citizens to participate in the redistricting process in ways never before possible. Link: https://thenevadaindependent.com/article/campaign-for-choice-inside-the-1990-effort-thats-protecting-nevada-abortion-access-today “Campaign for Choice: Inside the 1990 effort that’s protecting Nevada abortion access today,” Nevada Independent. Transcript to come.
