In this episode, University of Chicago Professor Paul Poast joins me for a conversation. We explore the Russian Mutiny and its impact on the Russia-Ukraine war, as well as the implications for Putin's leadership. We discuss the historical context and events surrounding the mutiny, questioning its classification as a mutiny, insurrection, or coup. Analyzing the effect on the ongoing war, we examine how the internal conflict within the Russian military could prolong the conflict and assess Putin's strength as a leader. We review a full article discussing the mutiny's potential to extend the war, contemplate the possibility of Putin resorting to nuclear weapons to retain power, and examine the role of the United States in addressing the conflict. Additionally, we delve into the intersection between the Russia-Ukraine war and the upcoming 2024 Presidential Elections, consider the likelihood of Putin targeting Prigozhin, and highlight future indicators to watch for in the aftermath of the mutiny.

This was a timely conversation on an event that opened the eyes of the entire globe, and raised concerns about potential use of nuclear weapons, as well as the legitimacy of Putin's power in Russia.

About Paul: Paul Poast is Associate Professor in the Department of Political Science at the University of Chicago. He is author of The Economics of War and co-author of Organizing Democracy. Follow him on Twitter @ProfPaulPoast.

Highlights

00:00 Intro

01:13 The Russian Mutiny: What Exactly Happened?

18:23 Mutiny, Insurrection, or Coup?

22:30 The Effect on The Russia-Ukraine War.

28:22 Is Putin Now a Weak Leader?

33:20 “The Wagner Mutiny Will Probably Prolong the War in Ukraine” - Full Article

33:30 Could Putin Drop a Nuclear Bomb to Stay in Power?

39:24 What Should The United States Do About The War?

48:21 The Russia-Ukraine War & The 2024 Presidential Elections.

54:21 Would Putin Kill Prigozhin?

56:50 What To Look Out For After The Russian Mutiny?

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